On Backtracking – Bring on Percy

Harvin Signs

Just a few weeks ago, I wrote a little article here on the blog about taking a pass on Percy Harvin to the Hawks.  I didn’t know what the trade package was going to be, kinda didn’t care – I just wasn’t interested in having him on the team.  I thought there were other places to address on the team first before picking up a wide receiver, and also the corresponding cap hit the Hawks would take by resigning him.

This is my official eating crow post, which I am noticing is becoming a trend.

The facts (and some of my opinions) are what they are, and the more I learn about ol’ John Schneider and Pete Carroll, the more I like them.

  • In my mind, the whole cap thing was a little overblown.  The way this contract is structured & how the Hawks didn’t spend $13.2M last year (which now gets to carry over), I like how the balance sheet looks.
  • Plus, the outlook for the next few years is setting up quite nicely, and guess what – the whole team isn’t going to fall apart AND they can clearly still add players.  Check out this post by Davis Hsu over at Field Gulls.  I am not going to lie, I am not a total cap expert (and by this I mean I am not at all), but this guy is and the next few years look just fine.
  • If the Hawks line up in a 4 receiver set, it’s going to be nasty.  Imagine Rice, Harvin, Tate & Baldwin all on the field at one time.  Pretty much everyone’s nickel DB is going to either get shredded, or it’s a bunch of 1-on-1 coverage all over the field.  I like that with DangerRuss either rolling out or sitting back in the pocket.
  • Did I mention in the above scenario, you could also have Beast just chillin’ in the backfield.  That’s a nice stretched out defense.  Run wild Beast, run wild.
  • The injury issues?  Oh yeah, those are overblown.  It’s been two years since his last migraine and he has been treated for them at the Mayo Clinic.  I should have searched that one out on Bing.
  • The NFC West is making moves.  The Hawks clearly aren’t going to stand pat.  If the Hawks didn’t make this move – the additions in the NFC West like Mr. Boldin & Long would have made this irrational fan a little more nervous about the rest of the division catching up.  Now, I don’t worry about that as much on my irrational fan pillow at night.

In retrospect – I look at my month-ago self and laugh at him.  Welcome to Seattle Percy, this is going to get cray.


The Mascot Games – NFC South Edition

The season of free agency and combines are upon us. The constant rosterbation has hit a fever pitch with trades, free agents and draft picks. However, since none of this is based in a shred of reality (maybe some educated guesses), I have decided to come up with the 2013 NFL Mascot games.

The rules are simple, each NFL team must have their own mascot on the field at all times. One is the minimum, the entire team is the maximum. All animals will be trained/trainable, but the bounds of reality of that animal still applies (I.E, a Bear can’t be trained to be a perfect read option QB, but would be a beast DE or something to that effect). I will preview each division over the next few weeks, then ultimately pick one team that rises to the top.

With that being said, here is how I would configure each NFL team – where I would put their mascot, and if this ultimately hurts or helps the team.

The second installment, the NFC South.

Atlanta Falcons - Peregrine Falcon  - Position: FS

I have always kinda looked at the falcon as the generic Seahawk.  Now, I know this isn’t true, and there are several species of falcon that are actually way different than an osprey in many ways.   However, I don’t walk around Discovery Park with a really expensive iPhone app and spotters goggles, so to me – these animals are pretty much the same.  However, I did come across this sweet Google image of a Falcon that is white.

But if I were to actually pick a Falcon in an effort to give this team a bump, you got to go Peregrine Falcon.  It is the fastest animal on earth, reaching in upwards of 200MPH in dives to catch it’s prey.  So it only makes sense that the falcon plays defensive back, and honestly – I would treat it like a blitzing safety.  Imagine this guy just circling, then on a key 3rd down, dive bombing the QB at 200MPH?  Team improvement? Slight improvement over Eugene Robinson, who dive bombs hookers.  Or did before anyway.

Falcons

Carolina Panthers – Panther (the legendary creature) – Position: Defensive Tackle (DT)

This was the animal that I thought for sure would be the most cut and dried, but lead to a rabbit hole of wacky research about Panthers.  See, I didn’t want to go the lazy route and mail in this synopsis:

“The Panther is a mean-ass cat and makes sense on defense.   Put in the pass rush and he will maul quarterbacks.”

Now this is true, and while I am tempted to end my analysis there, I learned too much about mythical Panther to ignore it, and obviously the impact on the football field.

I don’t want to completely paraphrase Wikipedia (for you Ben) – the mythical Panther has endured centuries in many different cultures as a beast that emits a powerful scent after three days of sleeping.  People are enchanted by it and follow the Panther.  In different civilizations, the Panther isn’t always a Panther – sometimes it is a deer, a bull, whatever – but shares this unique quality.  I really suggest reading the Wiki entry, it’s fascinating.

So with that being said, it makes sense that the Panther be at defensive tackle.  However, the Panther won’t have to do much besides emit scent, which will draw in the offense (and probably the defense) into a scrum.  Just make sure one of your defenders has an Avian Flu mask on so they can swoop the ball from the entranced player and take it to the house.  All games the Panthers play may result in a 7-0 score.

Team improvement? High.  Insanely  high.

Panthers

New Orleans Saints – A Quality Marching Fellow – Position: QB

Saints

This was another one that could have gone with picking a literal Saint to be on the team.  However, I find that to be a little boring, plus I don’t think God cares about the outcome of football games, no matter how many post-game interviews would lead you to think otherwise.  So with that line of thought, NoLa should thank me for not putting an apathetic deity on their team.  I want to make them  better!

That’s how I found the Quality Marching Fellow, which is a mash-up of British Stereotype and the graphic design genius of David Rappoccio of TheDrawPlay.com.

The monocle suggests intelligence, marching suggests that there is a tireless pursuit of perfection yet moving at the same steady pace, and fellows are a good nickname for those that are on their way to “chaps” – which takes some time.  So, we have found a character with the utmost pride in his work, a sterling ethic and intelligence to boot.

Since I couldn’t pick player-coaches, I had to go with the field general position for him on the Saints.  Drew Brees is getting a little older, has plenty of weapons and isn’t that tall.  This guy can come in at 6′ 1″ (I made up that height) and starts working with all those weapons immediately. Plus, he is really smart.  He can distribute the ball.  Now, is he as physically gifted as Brees?  Not sure.

Team Improvement: On the field, slight downgrade – in life, high moral upgrade for the city of New Orleans.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – A Buccaneer (NOT a Pirate) - Position: WR

Buccaneers

As hard as this is to believe  Buccaneers are actually cooler and just as dangerous as pirates.  To go SAT analogy on you, Buccaneers are to mafia bosses as Pirates are to petty street thugs.  Both are dangerous, but one has way more style, is way more lethal and probably took your girl home.

Their name originated from a few words over the years, but I will take the wiki excerpt it originated from the fact that they ate Manatee meat.  Can you believe that?  It’s like these guys ate mermaids and robbed from Spanish conquistadors (who had no problem eradicating entire civilizations) so you know they don’t have remorse for anything or anyone.

These guys were hired guns by mostly the English to take out Spanish shipping merchants, made tons of cash and also had a B.A. reputation.  So where does he fit on the field?

I decided to go with WR here, because jumping from ship to ship, stealing riches and having a gigantic ego just sounded like a wide receiver.  He will always want the ball and will make sure to get it when it is thrown his way.  You need to be that aggressive with Josh Freeman at quarterback – you don’t always quite know where that ball is headed.

Team Improvement? Yes, I mean really – Muscle Hamster needs all the help he can get.

Winner from this division? I think I have to hand it to the Panthers just because of all the intangibles that history brings to the fold.  The Panther can literally take over a game with just it’s scent.  That’s amazing, and the Bucs, the Falcons and Saints couldn’t resist that.  Standings would be Panthers, Bucs, Falcons and then the Saints.


The Mascot Games – NFC West Edition

The season of free agency and combines are upon us. The constant rosterbation has hit a fever pitch with trades, free agents and draft picks. However, since none of this is based in a shred of reality (maybe some educated guesses), I have decided to come up with the 2013 NFL Mascot games.

The rules are simple, each NFL team must have their own mascot on the field at all times. One is the minimum, the entire team is the maximum. All animals will be trained/trainable, but the bounds of reality of that animal still applies (I.E, a Bear can’t be trained to be a perfect read option QB, but would be a beast DE or something to that effect). I will preview each division over the next few weeks, then ultimately pick one team that rises to the top.

With that being said, here is how I would configure each NFL team – where I would put their mascot, and if this ultimately hurts or helps the team.

Let’s start with the NFC West (but of course)

Seattle Seahawks – Osprey (the actual name for a Seahawk) – Position: FS

What I am thinking here is, that the L.O.B. here has plenty of physicality between Sherman, Browner, Kam and soon to be nickel corner Charles Woodson. Now, this is NO KNOCK on Earl, but I got to get the mascot on the field. Since a Seahawk/Osprey is a fast, nimble bird of prey able to intercept targets from sea or air, I fancy the animal to be quite the impact player in the backfield. Hitting skills would be weak at best, but the ability to swoop down at 40 to 50 MPH (ok, slight Peregrine Falcon but work with me here) to intercept/pop balls would be valuable. Team improvement? Negligible.

Osprey

San Francisco 49′ers – Gold Miner (complete with pick & gold pan) – Position: Leo Pass Rusher (OLB)

This was a little bit of a struggle. Since the mascot itself isn’t a huge, imposing figure but merely a 40′s to 50′s year old man with a plaid shirt on and deadly tool – I didn’t think offense made sense. Defense though is SF’s strength and I really don’t want to take a guy like a Navarro Bowman, Aldon Smith or Pat Willis off the field – so unfortunately a guy like Ahmad Brooks has to sit for the man wielding a pick. I don’t picture the 49′er to be a formidable, imposing physical figure – but the pick axe along with an insatiable need to use it could make him just unstable enough to join this defense. Team improvement? Neutral.

Sam Sourdough

Nice Tat. Just what I was looking for.

St. Louis Rams – Bighorn Sheep (yes, that is what they are going for) – Position: Full Back

I think this one is the most obvious. Line up in the I formation, give it to Stephen Jackson (if this didn’t get him to re-sign, nothing will) and let this guy lead the way. This mascot with a running start is going to find one player in the hole and probably maim/kill that player. That causes matchup problems, tests a team’s depth chart and also makes a guy like Bobby Wagner or Pat Willis think twice. Out of all the mascots in the NFC West, I think this has the biggest impact for a team. Team Improvement? Leaps and Bounds!

Ram Search Results

No love for Bighorn Sheep

*note – googling “RAM” gets you all sorts of results, none really having to do with the animal. Ram really is a male sheep, and they really mean the Bighorn Sheep, male version.

Arizona Cardinals – Northern Cardinal – Position: TE

Northern Cardinal Edit

Tight End for a Cardinal? Yeah – at the surface, this doesn’t make any sense. However, this is about damage control, as the Cardinals have to put a “mid-sized songbird with a length of 8.3 inches” somewhere on the field. This bird is not like the Osprey. This bird sings, eats nuts and berries and also has an affinity for baseball. Would I want something like that on defense? No. On offense, I can’t have this thing at RB, FB, anywhere on the line, QB or lining up at WR. The other team would just quadruple cover Fitzgerald, and he gets enough of that already with humans on the other side of the formation. TE was the only position that I could think of that would cause the least amount of damage. There would be a slight degradation in line blocking & protections, but I think you could try your best to scheme around it. Long story short, this hurts. Team Improvement? NO. Detrimental to winning.

Winner from this division? As much as it pains me to say it – I think I have to give the slight nod to the Rams. The 49ers would be next (as the mascot is a human with a weapon), the Hawks a close 2nd and the Cardinals still sucking.


The Plays That Got Flacco Paid

Joe Flacco

As we all know Joe Flacco had a great playoff run to help the Baltimore Ravens win the Super Bowl. The 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions had only happened one other time in history, some guy named Joe Montana also accomplished this feat. As soon as the purple confetti started falling on the field at the Superdome, Flacco was a free agent. (Technically, free agency doesn’t start until March 12th, but for the sake of drama we will go with what I said in the previous sentence.) The Ravens tried to extend Flacco at the beginning of the season with a long-term $15-$16 million dollar a year deal, but Flacco and his agent turned that bad boy down. They apparently thought that Flacco could somehow play his way into more money. His agent and he will tell you that he did play himself into a bigger contract. I am here to tell you it wasn’t Flacco who played himself into a big contract, but it was a few other players who made Flacco the money.

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No Thanks to Percy

I have never had a migraine to my knowledge. I have had some wicked headaches, usually drinking induced, but none where just the mention of light and noise sends me to the porcelain throne. For those that have them, they speak of them very similarly to how 17th century peasants may have spoke of the plague.

Now imagine your “first round” draft pick (I will refer to him this way because that seems to be the asking price of this player) this year having a history of these that have kept him out of multiple games out of the blue. Imagine that in a game where head injuries are all anyone wants to talk about, this guy’s head could explode on its very own, say during a good session of Black Ops 2.

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#19 – No Fair Weather Fans Podcast – Super Bowl, Golf, Hockey and Recuits

The subject line tells you all you need to know about what this is about. However, there are some good stories in here about golf tournaments in Arizona, hockey games and how to cut ever person in a line without getting caught. Do you like both your arms? Good advice given on how to keep them.

-Subjects

-Super Bowl

-Phoenix Open

-Start of the Hockey Season

-NCAA Football Signing Day

Do you have a business or know a business that needs a plug? We apparently love doing it for free.

PLAY IN YO BROWSER

Feel a little lost from our video references?

Here are the videos referenced in this Podcast:

Mike Leach Speech

Lax Bros

Duck Sauce – Big Bad Wolf Music Video


$uper Bow! Preview – Is It Worth Watching?

I'm not laughing AT you, I'm lauging WITH you...

I’m not laughing AT you, I’m laughing WITH you…

Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Eli/Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers…these are all names synonymous with NFL greatness.  However, they aren’t the ones playing for ultimate glory in the “Big Game” this weekend.  The men fighting for the Lombardi Trophy are Colin Kaepernick and Joe Flacco – two greenhorns to the Big Game’s spotlight.

Honestly, I will be watching this game mostly to see if there will be any wardrobe malfunctions at halftime, as I think most people will.  The entire country, other than the cities of Baltimore and San Francisco, would rather see a game between Rodgers and Manning, or Brady and Matty Ice (Matt Ryan).

But hold the smart-phone; let’s see if we can make this game a bit more interesting for the layman.

The 49ers have been anything but consistent this year.  We’ve seen them end in a tie AND lost to the St. Louis Rams, who were 7-8-1 this year.  Then, only a few weeks later, they went into Foxboro and (more or less) obliterate the Patriots.  Granted the Pats made a resilient comeback, all for naught, but Kaepernick made New England’s secondary look like the University of Nevada-Reno’s practice squad.  Since Seattle put the hurt on them in week 16, San Fran has been nothing short of dominant.  They took care of Green Bay 45-31, and then came back against the Falcons in Atlanta to win the NFC Championship.

Frankly, Colin Kaepernick is a menace.  He’s big, he’s mobile, and he’s becoming more accurate with each pass attempt.  In the same way Russell Wilson has grown tremendously over the course of the 2012 season, Kaepernick has done the same in half the time (arguably).  In the two postseason games this year, has rushed for 202 yards, including a 56-yard touchdown scamper against Green Bay, and has a QBR of 94.1.  Compare that to Flacco’s 2012 postseason QBR of 77.5.  Kaepernick also has a better completion percentage and a better TD/INT ratio over the course of 2012.

Speaking of Flacco, he’s somewhat of an anomaly, as are the Baltimore Ravens.  I mentioned his QBR and TD/INT ratio (2.1/1) over the entire 2012 season.  In this post season, he’s thrown EIGHT TDs and zero interceptions.  After beating the Colts, he was able to beat Peyton Manning in Denver while only completing  just over 50 percent of his passes. He threw three TDs in that game, including an essential last minute touchdown to Jacoby Jones over a back-pedaling safety.  Quite honestly, Baltimore only won that game because of an incompetent Denver secondary, which ranked 3rd in passing defense during the regular season.  You wouldn’t have been able to tell that night.

The next week against New England, Flacco threw another three touchdowns.  Flacco, a self-proclaimed elite NFL quarterback, has never thrown for 3+ TDs in back-to-back games, let alone in the playoffs.  Flacco might be having an out-of-body experience, but he’s well on his way to being considered “elite” by someone other than his mother, Karen.

Don’t forget the old guys playing defense for the Ravens.  Ray Lewis and maybe Ed Reed are fast approaching the last game of their storied careers. Lewis has been more emotional than my pregnant wife these last few weeks, which is somewhat acceptable, I guess.  The guy probably sustained as many concussions as he so graciously gave to other players, so I’ll give him a pass for crying as much as he has.

So here’s what we have on Sunday:

A guy who might be considered to be one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the league in Kaepernick, versus an old and emotional defense with a quarterback who probably doesn’t realize what he’s done over the past two weeks, which is beat Peyton Manning and Tom Brady ON THE ROAD.  Keep in mind, the Ravens ended their season losing four out of five, including a losses to Charlie Batch and Andy Dalton in weeks 13 and 17, respectively.

With all this being said, Super Bowl XLVII probably won’t be as exciting as a game with Brady and one of the Mannings.  But let’s not make any judgments beforehand.  Kaepernick has an opportunity to prove he can compete at this level, and Flacco has a chance to prove what he’s been trying to prove for so long… that he’s a proven elite QB.

At the very least, you should record the game. That way you’ll still be able to tune into any of Beyoncé’s possible wardrobe malfunctions while fast-forwarding through this potential snooze-fest.


Tim Brown: YOU MAD

Jerry Rice and Tim Brown

As most of you have heard Tim Brown accused Bill Callahan of purposely blowing Super Bowl 38 this week. Not sure how well you can count (I took to the calculator to figure it out), but that is 10 Super Bowls/years ago. Brown claims he has brought this up multiple times over the years, however no one has heard about it until now. This time he has his boy Jerry Rice backing him. Now, if this was Tecmo Super Bowl for my NES, I would be totally respecting these dudes. In 1991 these guys were in their prime and I was 10 years old. I would have been stoked to meet Tim Brown and Jerry Rice, then. Now, I just think they are a couple of guys who are bitter old men. I’m sure I will be in their boat one day, granted they will be in Davy Jones’ locker by the time I get to their bitter level.

I like how Tim points out that Callahan “threw” the Super Bowl by changing the game plan two days before the Super Bowl. C’mon Tim Dogg! You know Al Davis was making the calls around that organization, this wasn’t your first rodeo, cowboy. You had played with the Raiders for 16 years at that point. You seriously played for the same team the entire time I was in school. You knew what was going on around those parts. I am going to let Jerry Rice slide a little, he was 41 and had played in the league for 19 years. I am sure he had mush brains by that point.

Tim, you really think Bill Callahan was going to throw away the potential of tacking on millions of extra dollars on top of what he would make as a coach in the NFL? You think the competitor in him would really throw away a chance to be on top of the sport he loves? You really think Callahan would throw away a legacy for his boy John “Chucky” Gruden? It was Callahan’s first year coaching. He wouldn’t do that.

Let’s face facts here, Timmy. This time of year is a little rough on you. I mean, you never got to hold up that Vince Lombardi Trophy. That eats at you doesn’t it. It time for to just admit…

Camron-You-Mad


#18 – No Fair Weather Fans Podcast – Pro Bowl Alternates, the NFWF Bhoys

Hasselbeck in the Pro BowlAt first there was 2, and then there was 3.  We had a slight scare on the podcast during this recording, as RJ was signed into Skype, but not answering the call.  He was also mysteriously ignoring his cell phone.  Turns out, his Android phone died (surprise, surprise) and he was afraid to hit the “join call” button.  Alas, he did and was immediately caught up in the fun that was the No Fair Weather Fans podcast.

The hard-hitting subjects this week were -

  • NFL Pro Bowl and the Hawks that are in it
  • The Saga that is the Sacramento Kings Sale
  • The return of the National Hockey League
  • Then RJ gets on the podcast

Hopefully after all those hard-hitting subjects you aren’t battered to sports death with all the knowledge bombs.  My guess, probably not – but hey!

As always, big ups to The Soundmen (@scottdsoundmen on the Twitter, facebook.com/TheSoundmen ) for playing us in, and playing us out.

As usual, click to subscribe to the podcast with that fancy logo in the top right hand corner.  You can find us here on iTunes – and as always…

CLICK TO PLAY IN YO BROWSER


NFL Moneyball – Is the Tight End the Position to Exploit?

Note – this was written by Josh Deceuster, a friend of the blog, a friend of ours and all-around good guy.  You can find him on Twitter @joshmtd (give him a big follow) along with his work here on YouTube.  After I read his fanpost on The Daily Norsemen, I asked if he would want to do a version for the Hawks.

Billy Beane Meme

_____

The biggest misconception I had about “Moneyball” was that I thought it was all about
money. I am not a baseball fan and hearing about it from friends and media always seemed like
a nice little story, but not something that would apply to football. The salary cap and spending
floor/ceiling would be enough to keep teams from trying a similar system in the NFL. Of
course, that was when I only saw Moneyball as a formula for spending money on your roster.
Moneyball is really about exploiting the market.

Everyone wanted to copy the Yankees, so the A’s exploited the player market to find
guys other teams were missing in their quest to duplicate successful franchises. The NFL also
has its fair share of copycats. Often many teams adjust their rosters trying to be like the most
recent Super Bowl winner or the hot team for the last few seasons. This creates similar market
conditions that Moneyball used to help the A’s, so now it is about finding where to exploit
said markets. Instead of thinking of the market solely as acquiring talent, let’s take a look at
exploiting how the roster to put together.

If the market is roster spots, the NFL is primed for a Moneyball-style takeover. Or at
least, prime for experimentation. Most NFL teams carry the same number of quarterbacks,
receivers, pass rushers, cornerbacks, etc. when making up their 52. The biggest shift on most
rosters depends on what your team’s defensive scheme or whether the GM likes having more
of a specific position on the roster. Receivers, however, are pretty uniform across the board.
Every team is looking for the same specific talents to play X, Z, & Y. This is where teams could
exploit the player market to their advantage.

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